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To celebrate the World Cup, you have been automatically granted 48 hours of unlimited access to all LiveFooty Premium metrics. See hidden patterns, late goal probabilities, and advanced tips!
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A real-time football analytics dashboard powered by Poisson distribution mathematics, multi-year historical data, and live match statistics.
The dashboard fetches live match data from our server cache (updated every minute) and enriches it with multi-year historical team averages.
Expected goals (xG) and probabilities are calculated using the Poisson distribution — the gold standard model in football analytics.
Premium betting signals are only shown when the probability exceeds your minimum threshold AND the timing window is still open.
The sidebar lists all leagues with live matches. Click any league to filter the dashboard and show only those matches. Click All Leagues to reset.
LiveFooty is free to use. Premium unlocks deeper analytics and advanced signals.
Controls how many years of historical match data are used in the probability calculations (1 to 7 years).
Sets the minimum probability threshold for a betting signal to appear inside the Premium Tips section of each match card.
Reorders all match cards by the selected metric in descending order. Available sort options:
Probability of a goal in the final 10 minutes of the first half.
Probability of a goal in the final 10 minutes of the second half.
Sorts by 1H goals, total goals, corners, penalties, or red cards — averaged across both teams over the selected history range.
Sorts by the same metrics but exclusively from direct matches between the two teams (H2H records).
Each live match is displayed as a premium glassmorphic card with the following sections from top to bottom:
Shows the league name, home and away team names, and the current live score. The match status (1H, HT, 2H, FT) and live elapsed time are shown in the score center.
Real-time match events — corners, shots on target, shots off target, yellow cards, red cards, and penalties — updated live for each team.
Poisson-based expected goals for the first half and full match. Calculated using team historical averages blended 60/40 with head-to-head records.
Two progress bars showing the probability of a goal in the 35'-45' window (teal) and the 80'-90' window (pink-purple). Bars glow bright orange when probability ≥ 80%.
Each chip shows a betting market (e.g. "Over 0.5 1H Goals"), probability percentage, and a Poisson-derived fair odds value. Only shown when probability meets your threshold.
A bar chart comparing the home vs. away team historical averages for goals, corners, and cards. Updates live as you move the History slider.
Each betting signal chip contains three pieces of information:
The exact betting market being suggested (e.g. "Over 0.5 1H Goals", "Corners Over 9.5", "Late 2H Goal (80'-90')").
The model's calculated probability that this event will occur in the match. Higher = stronger signal.
Marks this signal as a mathematically-identified value opportunity. The odds shown (@ X.XX) are Poisson fair odds calculated as 0.94 / probability — incorporating a 6% margin. If you find higher odds for the same market at a bookmaker, that is a value bet!
The model automatically suppresses tips that are mathematically impossible or already expired:
Late 1H Goal tip is hidden if: a first-half goal has been scored, or the elapsed time is ≥ 35', or the match is at HT/2H/FT.
Late 2H Goal tip is hidden if: the elapsed time is ≥ 80' in the second half, or the match is at FT.
This application is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. All probabilities, expected goals (xG), and betting signals are generated by mathematical models (Poisson distribution) applied to publicly available historical football statistics.
LiveFooty does not facilitate, encourage, or process real-money gambling or sports betting. No financial transactions occur within this application.
All historical data and live match statistics are sourced from third-party sports data providers. While we strive for accuracy, we make no guarantees regarding the completeness or correctness of any data displayed.